The autonomic brain: multi-dimensional generative hierarchical modelling of the autonomic connectome

The autonomic nervous system governs the body's multifaceted internal adaptation to diverse changes in the external environment, a role more complex than is accessible to the methods — and data scales — hitherto used to illuminate its operation. Here we apply generative graphical modelling to large-scale multimodal neuroimaging data encompassing normal and abnormal states to derive a comprehensive hierarchical representation of the autonomic brain. We demonstrate that whereas conventional structural and functional maps identify regions jointly modulated by parasympathetic and sympathetic systems, only graphical analysis discriminates between them, revealing the cardinal roles of the autonomic system to be mediated by high-level distributed interactions. We provide a novel representation of the autonomic system — a multidimensional, generative network — that renders its richness tractable within future models of its function in health and disease

The autonomic brain: Multi-dimensional generative hierarchical modelling of the autonomic connectome.

The autonomic nervous system governs the body's multifaceted internal adaptation to diverse changes in the external environment, a role more complex than is accessible to the methods-and data scales-hitherto used to illuminate its operation. Here we apply generative graphical modelling to large-scale multimodal neuroimaging data encompassing normal and abnormal states to derive a comprehensive hierarchical representation of the autonomic brain. We demonstrate that whereas conventional structural and functional maps identify regions jointly modulated by parasympathetic and sympathetic systems, only graphical analysis discriminates between them, revealing the cardinal roles of the autonomic system to be mediated by high-level distributed interactions. We provide a novel representation of the autonomic system-a multidimensional, generative network-that renders its richness tractable within future models of its function in health and disease

Delineation between different components of chronic pain using dimension reduction - an ASL fMRI study in hand osteoarthritis

DK was supported by grants from GENIEUR COST action and the ‘Sint Annadal’ Foundation Maastricht. MAH and SW are supported by a Medical Research Council Experimental Medicine Challenge Grant award (MR/ N026969/1) and the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre for Mental Health at the South London and Maudsley NHS Trust. The data collected for this study were part of an academic–industrial collaboration between King’s College London and the study sponsor, Pfizer Global Research and Development, UK. All data collection was performed by King’s College London scientists only

Brain tumour genetic network signatures of survival

Tumour heterogeneity is increasingly recognized as a major obstacle to therapeutic success across neuro-oncology. Gliomas are characterised by distinct combinations of genetic and epigenetic alterations, resulting in complex interactions across multiple molecular pathways. Predicting disease evolution and prescribing individually optimal treatment requires statistical models complex enough to capture the intricate (epi)genetic structure underpinning oncogenesis. Here, we formalize this task as the inference of distinct patterns of connectivity within hierarchical latent representations of genetic networks. Evaluating multi-institutional clinical, genetic, and outcome data from 4023 glioma patients over 14 years, across 12 countries, we employ Bayesian generative stochastic block modelling to reveal a hierarchical network structure of tumour genetics spanning molecularly confirmed glioblastoma, IDH- wildtype; oligodendroglioma, IDH-mutant and 1p/19q codeleted; and astrocytoma, IDH- mutant. Our findings illuminate the complex dependence between features across the genetic landscape of brain tumours, and show that generative network models reveal distinct signatures of survival with better prognostic fidelity than current gold standard diagnostic categories.Comment: Main article: 52 pages, 1 table, 7 figures. Supplementary material: 13 pages, 11 supplementary figure

Representational ethical model calibration

Equity is widely held to be fundamental to the ethics of healthcare. In the context of clinical decision-making, it rests on the comparative fidelity of the intelligence – evidence-based or intuitive – guiding the management of each individual patient. Though brought to recent attention by the individuating power of contemporary machine learning, such epistemic equity arises in the context of any decision guidance, whether traditional or innovative. Yet no general framework for its quantification, let alone assurance, currently exists. Here we formulate epistemic equity in terms of model fidelity evaluated over learnt multidimensional representations of identity crafted to maximise the captured diversity of the population, introducing a comprehensive framework for Representational Ethical Model Calibration. We demonstrate the use of the framework on large-scale multimodal data from UK Biobank to derive diverse representations of the population, quantify model performance, and institute responsive remediation. We offer our approach as a principled solution to quantifying and assuring epistemic equity in healthcare, with applications across the research, clinical, and regulatory domains

Preliminary report: parasympathetic tone links to functional brain networks during the anticipation and experience of visceral pain

Medical Research Council project grant - Medical Research Council Grant Number - MGAB1A1

Deep forecasting of translational impact in medical research.

The value of biomedical research-a $1.7 trillion annual investment-is ultimately determined by its downstream, real-world impact, whose predictability from simple citation metrics remains unquantified. Here we sought to determine the comparative predictability of future real-world translation-as indexed by inclusion in patents, guidelines, or policy documents-from complex models of title/abstract-level content versus citations and metadata alone. We quantify predictive performance out of sample, ahead of time, across major domains, using the entire corpus of biomedical research captured by Microsoft Academic Graph from 1990-2019, encompassing 43.3 million papers. We show that citations are only moderately predictive of translational impact. In contrast, high-dimensional models of titles, abstracts, and metadata exhibit high fidelity (area under the receiver operating curve [AUROC] > 0.9), generalize across time and domain, and transfer to recognizing papers of Nobel laureates. We argue that content-based impact models are superior to conventional, citation-based measures and sustain a stronger evidence-based claim to the objective measurement of translational potential